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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 9, 2022

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Donbass offensive: situation in Eastern Ukraine as the end of 9 August 2022 by @rybar:

▪️ In the morning, air defence forces in Belgorod Region intercepted several shells fired from Ukrainian territory.

▪️ Russian units shelled enemy positions in Semenovka in Chernigov region, as well as Seredina-Budykh, Mezenovka and Katerinovka in Sumy region.

▪️ At night, the Russian Armed Forces launched at least four missile strikes on targets in Kharkov’s Industrial and Kholodnogorsk districts. At the same time, the Russian Aerospace Defence Forces conducted a strike against a Ukrainian army facility near Verkhnyaya Saltov.

▪️ An allied offensive continues at Bakhmut(Artemovsk).
➖On the Seversk section of the front fighting is under way in the area of Verkhnekamenskoye and Ivano-Daryevka.
➖North-east of Soledar, Allied units supported by artillery and aviation develop an offensive in Yakovlevka.
➖In Soledar itself, units of the 6th Cossack Regiment of the LPR People’s Militia have taken control of the entire territory of the KNAUF-Gypsum factory on the southeastern outskirts of the town. Clashes are taking place in the streets adjacent to the factory.
➖The Wagner PMC assault units continued fighting on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut (Artemovsk).
➖In the south of Bakhmut, clashes continue in the area from Kodema to Veselaya Dolina.

▪️ In the Donetsk direction, Allied forces are developing success in several sections of the front.
➖The Russian Armed Forces were able to advance in the Avdeevka direction, engaging in combat in Krasnogorovka (settlement).
➖In Maryinka, units of the Donetsk People’s Republic’s People’s Militia managed to take up positions near the Shchurovo mine heap and are moving towards the centre of the settlement.
➖To the north, Russian forces advanced west of Staromikhailovka, engaging the enemy.
➖In Peski, position fighting in the residential area to the north-west of the settlement continues without any significant changes.
➖Ukrainian formations continued shelling Donetsk and other towns of the Donetsk Republic. Two civilians were killed and at least 10 people were wounded as a result of the AFU artillery attacks.

▪️ In Dnipropetrovsk region, Russian forces hit targets in Nikopol district.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye direction, the Russian Air Force conducted an air strike against a concentration of enemy manpower near Shcherbaky.

The sides continued artillery dueling near the line of contact. During the night, the Ukrainian armed forces shelled the town of Tomakovka.

▪️ On the Krivoy Rog direction, Russian artillery hit enemy positions in Osakarovka, Knyazevka and Olgino.

Fiend Analysis of the situation in Ukraine from American Muzzlewhores Institute for the Study of War (ISW):

August 9; Key Takeaways

▪️ Russian forces conducted ground attacks to the southeast of Siversk and around Bakhmut.

▪️ Russian forces conducted ground attacks north of Donetsk City and southwest of Donetsk City near the Zaporizhia-Donetsk Oblast border.

▪️ Several large explosions hit Russian positions near Sevastopol and north of Crimea, but Russia did not blame Ukraine for them and Ukraine has not taken credit for them.

▪️ Russia launched a surveillance satellite for Iran.

▪️ Western media has reported that a Ukrainian counteroffensive is underway near Izyum, but the Ukrainian General Staff was notably completely silent about the area in its evening report.

▪️ Russian sources suggested that recently-formed volunteer battalions are responsible for much of the Izyum sector.

▪️ Ukrainian officials claimed that Russian forces continued to fire artillery systems from the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.

▪️ Russian officials are continuing to take prominent roles in preparing for the sham referenda in Russian-occupied regions despite Kremlin claims that Russia is not conducting the referenda

Excerpt from:

Reports of sharp increase in activity of the Russian forces on the Dnepr river – Gulayi Pole line, consistent with offensive operations, per @Zastavnyii. 

On Galitsinovo, located in the southern suburbs of Nikolaev, massive shelling by Russian rocket artillery is carried out that night. For the first time in a long time. This is not like the targeted destruction of enemy manpower. But rather, for … artillery preparation before the offensive.

Most likely, in the Zaporizhia direction, from the Dnieper to Gulyai-Pole, massive artillery shelling of enemy positions was also carried out that night.

The activity of Russian guns is observed in the morning in the Sumy direction.

#YURI WAR BRIEFING – Solidar – KNAUF factory grounds, and, consequentially, the eastern part of the town, is taken. Similar actions underway in Bakhmut. Explanation of the Russian tactics near both towns, as well as near Avdeyevka. News on possible reconnaisance by combat by the Russian troops towards Nikolayev – a move is taken very seriously by the Ukrainian planners who prepare for the defense of Nikolayev, anticipating a Russian attack there.

Allied troops stormed the KNAUF factory and a number of streets in Soledar

There are urban battles on the streets of the city, tanks and artillery are hitting the defense of Ukrainian militants. Soldiers of PMC “Wagner” storm the nearby Bakhmutskoye. 

The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation about mercenaries in Ukraine:

• In four weeks, as a result of the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces and the forces of the LPR and DPR, the number of mercenaries in Ukraine decreased from 2,741 to 2,190 people.
• Russian troops from July 8 to August 5 destroyed 335 foreign mercenaries, another 389 left the territory of Ukraine.
• Over the past weeks, another 175 foreign mercenaries have arrived in Ukraine, including 81 militants from Georgia.
• From July 8 to August 5, almost 100 Polish mercenaries were destroyed in Ukraine, 36 militants from Canada, 33 from Romania, 21 from the USA.

Foreign mercenaries said that when their comrades died, the AFU fighters looted their corpses — TV5Monde

In an interview with a French publication, “soldiers of failure” spoke about their problems and Ukrainian “allies”. According to the mercenaries, the authorities do not maintain contact with them, and they are also not given access to the bodies of the destroyed foreign “comrades”, stating that they will be burned in the crematorium along with the denazified AFU. As some “soldiers of failure” say, there were cases when Ukrainian militants looted the corpses of foreign mercenaries, taking valuables and equipment for themselves.

Today, a group of foreign representatives from public organizations from Italy, Germany, North Korea, Nicaragua, Serbia, Syria, and Abkhazia, led by the chairman of the Russian State Duma Committee on International Affairs, Leonid Slutsky, visited the colony in Yelenivka, where Azov prisoners are held and whom Ukraine killed with HIMARS on July 29.  
The foreign guests inspected the destruction and talked to the prisoners.

As a result of strikes by high-precision long-range air-launched missiles near the village of Voronovitsa, Vinnytsia region, the operating buried (-underground?) command post of the Ukrainian Air Force was destroyed

Get it, allies!

Ukraine has stopped the transit of Russian oil to Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia via the Druzhba oil pipeline, Transneft reported.

The reason is Western sanctions, because of which the Russian company was unable to make the payment.

Let’s see what the anti-Russian sanctions have led to this time:

▪️EU countries were left without oil.

▪️Ukraine was left without money from transit.

▪️Russia will simply sell its oil to other countries.


Summary of military situation since 27 July by @failure1991
Over the past few weeks the VSU tried several recons in force around Kherson and Nikolayev and each time they were destroyed by a combination of Russian artillery and airpower and sometimes in combination with direct counterattacks from the VDV who have moved several battalions to serve as a QRF (at least) near Kherson. Despite various attempts to destroy the Antonovsky bridge and the rail bridge. They have not succeeded. The Russians have also built pontoon bridges and operate a ferry service. Nikolaev is struck almost every day with cruise missiles and increasingly so is Krivoy Rog. There is some limited evidence that the Russians have launched limited counterattacks in the region and might be considering if now is the time to advance and besiege either Nikolaev or Krivoy Rog.
In the north mostly positional battles continue around Kharkov. However thanks to intelligence they have received the Russians appear to have been targeting the nationalist battalions with cruise missiles and artillery to attrite them – thus killing many of the Kiev regime’s enforcers, units with foreign mercenaries, and the pick of western gucci weapons.
Importantly – and to my main point  -  it appears as though at long last the Kiev regime is having to make some choices about where it puts men. As in, it can no longer just feed more men everywhere – it has to make choices – and it has either made a choice for an offensive near Izyum, a second Kharkov offensive or is even trying for one near near Kherson – depending on who and what source you believe. The effect has been the same, the Kiev regime pulled men back from in front of Donetsk and a lot of their artillery from Donbass.
And this is where the main new developments have been. Over the past 10 days the operational pause, such as it was, in Donbass ended with a vengeance. After Uglegorsk (the power plant south of Artemovsk/Bakhmut) was secured – with some grisly evidence of further Ukrainian war crimes against their own soldiers – the Russians attacked. There are drives against Artemovsk from the south, the Russians entered Soledar and have captured the Knauf industrial plant there and control between a quarter to one third of the town. They also quickly captured Pokrovskoye. Seeing this situation, last week, the VSU attempted to counterattack charging across the open fields between Artemovsk and Pokrovskoye and were caught in the open. They lost about 20 vehicles, including several tanks and a battalion’s worth of men. As they fell back the Russians saw their chance and the Musicians themselves have got a foothold in Artemovsk and are holding it against Ukrainian counterattacks. Currently heavy fighting continues in Soledar but the position is cracking.
The Ukrainians clearly believed their very well fortified positions in front of Donetsk would hold. But as troops were withdrawn the Russians saw the chance to solve two problems, to push the frontlines away from Donetsk and Ukrainian direct artillery fire further away from where they can shell civilians and to also push from the south to begin shaping the battlefield for the next pincer/cauldron they are hoping to form to finish the battle in Donbass. They have attacked in Mariinka – which as you will recall they had to abandon the battle for in late April -, attacked the village of Peski near Donetsk airport, and are attacking Avdeevka directly both from the flanks and in a frontal assault. According to a Ukrainian source in Peski last week it was hell on earth as his unit suffered easily 6,000 shells falling on their positions, describing most of the battalion being wiped out walking wounded being sent back to the fight and replacements thrown in futile small local counterattacks which were defeated by artillery and Russian infantry. Though the VSU occupy the northwest corner of Peski they are hanging on by their finger nails and only because the VSU – as always – threw more bodies at the problem.

Summary of military situation since 27 July by @failure1991 (continued)
The situation in Peski was under control enough that Denis Pushilin, President of the DNR, himself paid a visit to the front. The photographs from Peski are pretty gnarly – lots of dead VSU. A Ukrainian Colonel was also killed in Peski. In Mariinka between a third to half the town is now under Russian control and the Ukrainians are being pried out. In front of Avdeevka the Ukrainians were pushed out of the old mine, into the town itself where they are under direct artillery fire. This line is starting to break too.
Finally though, my little catchup brief would not be complete without some war crimes news. Oh my God the war crimes news.
As the Ukrainians have been pushed hard near Donetsk they have been lashing out ever more viciously. They have not just begun firing heavy ordinance indiscriminately into center city Donetsk they have also been firing PFM-1 ‘butterfly’ anti-personnel mines into center city Donetsk. The kind that are designed not to kill but maim. They have also begun – it seems – to shell hotels in Donetsk where they know Russian journalists stay. Eva Bartlett was nearly wounded in such an artillery strike. Amnesty International has also come out with a report that highlights some Ukrainian war crimes – albeit nothing as horrific as what a recent UN report has detailed the Ukrainians do. This is enough though to make all the blue checks marks and the ‘NAFO’ shibas come out of the woodwork and denounce Amnesty International as a Kremlin agent and they have forced the resignation of the Ukraine director of AI.

The United States is calling on Russia to return full control over the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant to Ukraine. This was stated by White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre.

According to her, Washington intends to work with the IAEA on this issue.

Now, i can’t decide which is more idiotic;

-USA making official demands to Russia regarding the territory of ukraine
-Ignoring the fact that ukraine is aggravating the situation
-IAEA having any kind of power over this

Kindergarten level diplomacy

[Forwarded from Luis]
Nobody asked what I think, but, here it goes.

These entire discussion about “decision making centers” is fruitless. Russia isn’t bombing them because it doesn’t want to, or because it is better not to do that. It simply can’t. Their intelligence might not know where they are, or they are simply not able to.

People tend to forget Ukraine isn’t Iraq or Afghanistan, it has or had very competent air defence inherited from the USSR and Russia can’t simply destroy any point in Ukraine they want to immediately. Things would be completely different by now if so.

I am not even completely convinced those “decision makers” actually exist. Like, a place where intelligent and competent people are gathered, and if we destroy this place the ukrainian forces will become weaker as result. Obviously the parliament isn’t that.

It is really pointless to wait from a russian response for this. More important things happened, such as shelling cities in Belgorod, Kursk or Bryansk, with civilian casualties, and nothing happened after that. This attack or accident or whatever it is will not alter the course of the war in anything at all.

I am more sad, as I sad, that it is going to be one week since everyday all channels are repeating “we took the Knauf Plant and entered Artemovsk (this time we really mean it)”.

Once Artyomvsk falls, the Ukrainian would have to withdraw from Severak, if the have a lick of sense. However, as @Sn3ska will attest, I thought the same about Severodonetsk, but they did not show a lick of sense then, so hard to say if they will now.

They may simply choose to sacrifice their troops there (hoping, with good reason that Russia will not simply carpet bomb them, and may even let them retreat, in the end) for the sake of recouping some tempo (though they have been unable to do anything with any tempo they have ever won).

Generally, after Artyomovsk (Bakhmut) is liberated, Seversk ought to be declared lost. Looking at the map, the most direct line of reinforcement and resupply from Slavaynsk is controlled by the Allied Forces from Yampol and Krasny Liman. The line that currently remains (and that allowed the bringing in of reinforcements from Slavyansk that are holding on for dear life in Seversk) lies through Artyomovsk. Once the latter goes, Seversk is cut off—for good.

Generally, the worse the Ukrainian situation in Artyomovsk, the more incentive for them to transfer the Seversk troops to Soledar. However, Ukrainian regime’s primary motivation is not military strategy, but retarding the Russian advance at the cost of cannon fodder. As a result, it’s anyone’s guess how they will behave.

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    • Fake News = The False Prophet

      Don’t know about Ukraine but they are heavily spraying chemtrails across the midlands in the UK today.

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