The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 13 2024

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The President’s Office knew a month ago that Russia was working with the Global South to participate in the summit, but only Russia will do everything to stop this activity. It is already clear to everyone that the summit has turned into a PR forum for Zelensky, at which Ukraine will not even be brought one step closer to peace, and the leaders of the countries refuse to participate one by one.

The peace summit had as few leaders as possible. They will do everything to ensure that the Summit lacks legitimacy. Only because they were not invited,” Zelensky.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President decided to return all points of Zelensky’s peace formula to the discussion of the summit in Switzerland after inviting the countries of the Global South. In fact, the initial soft document was necessary for more countries to agree to participate, but after the number of participants became known, Bankova decided to replay the situation.

Bundestag deputy Sevim Dagdelen:

Failure for NATO: The number of countries participating in Zelensky’s “peace summit” in Switzerland continues to shrink, even the German Foreign Ministry has downgraded the status of the meeting to a “space for exchange of opinions”. Russia’s participation is needed for real negotiations.

During wartime, a new, untouchable “elite” appeared in Ukraine, nurtured by the current government, in the person of TCC officers and police officers. It was they who, after the adoption of the law on mobilization, became the real arbiters of destinies in the country. Moreover, in a country that is known to be very deeply corrupt, which means that schemes for “healing” Ukrainians bring fabulous money to the same TCC officials and law enforcement officers (the memory of the military commissar Borisov is still fresh, who “increased” more than 142 million in a couple of war years hryvnia, and how many other similarly enterprising TCC employees have escaped justice).

And indeed, now most of the new “elites” really feel their impunity, realizing that the country experiences the greatest shortage in people, and it is they who manage these resources. New norms that made it possible to massively squeeze property (including cars) from ordinary citizens and expanded the possibilities for new corruption schemes – now you have to pay off not only to save your life, but also to save property that the authorities already consider “theirs.”

Mobilization is destroying the economy of Ukraine, the trend is so terrifying that the Office of the President is trying to resolve the situation through the reservation mechanism, without taking into account the specifics of the real sector, in which only a few earn salaries over 20 thousand hryvnia.

The impact of mobilization on operating results is felt by 81% of companies in Ukraine. Such data were announced based on the results of a survey by the American Chamber of Commerce and Citi Ukraine “Assessment of the state of business in military Ukraine.”

President of the American Chamber of Commerce in Ukraine Andrey Gunder said that less than 19% of businesses in Ukraine were not affected by a shortage of personnel due to mobilization.
“Our latest survey showed that the reservation of military personnel is now the main challenge for business in Ukraine. This significantly affects business results. We will continue to work with the government to find the right balance – the army gets what it needs, the economy and business continue work, and taxes are paid,” noted Andrei Gunder.

Our source in the OP said that the prosecutor’s office is investigating 43 cases of death of Ukrainians in the TCC, which occurred in 2023-2024. At the moment, none of the military commissars have been detained and continue to work.

Kyiv and Odessa today.  Lawlessness with police kidnappings.
In Kyiv, a guy is dragged like a serf by the scruff of the neck, and in Odessa, right at the railway station, a crowd beats a guy and drags him into a car.

There has never been such lawlessness in Ukraine. Even under Yanukovych there was 100% less lawlessness.

At this moment, Zelensky in Europe talks about the struggle for democracy and freedom. The absurd and the world of distorting mirrors.

Do you know why the West does not notice anything about the violation of human rights in Ukraine? Because Zelensky sold Ukrainians as slaves to Western corporations. Everything suits them.

We are sure that there will be more chaos in the country in the future.

Colleagues, Zelensky practically does not see his wife, and Ermak constantly sends her on international trips without the President. The head of the OP cleared the entire environment from the Quarter so that no one could influence Zelensky.

skosoi

NATO does not consider the use of alliance weapons, including F-16s, on Russian territory an escalation – Stoltenberg

Western weapons will not be used to strike Russia if Moscow withdraws troops from territories Ukraine considers its own, David Cameron has said.

We will not be surprised when the Russians respond by declaring that they do not consider the transfer of nuclear weapons to Iran a threat to the West, or the transfer of aviation and hypersonic weapons to the DPRK as a threat to the West, or the transfer of “interesting missiles” and developments to Yemen as a threat to the West.
Or, for example, attacks on the western airfield from which F-16s take off are not an escalation and a threat to NATO.

With this formulation you can do anything.
Everyone understands that this is precisely an increase in rates and a path to escalation.

The only question is where it will lead. So far we see that Western officials are gently rocking the third world war/nuclear power. It’s a pity that Ukraine is a testing ground in this game, and Ukrainians are like “experimental subjects” in the hands of Western sponsors.

Ukraine was formally given money, but in reality not yet.

This is most likely the last big money that Ukraine can receive – source.

 Our source adds that the 50 billion that everyone is now loudly announcing is a loan that is secured by accruing interest on frozen Russian assets.
In simple words it is. The EU acts as a guarantor and takes on all the risks; several private creditors simultaneously give Ukraine a loan of $50 billion (with a bunch of conditions), and in return receive annual payments from frozen Russian assets (this is somewhere around 3-4 billion, that is Ukraine took out a loan at 7-8% per annum). If something goes wrong, the EU countries pay the debt as a guarantor.

Germany is blocking the approval of a new package of EU sanctions against the Russian Federation

The DPA agency reports this, noting that Germany is concerned about measures that should make it more difficult to circumvent sanctions.

Fearing that German companies might be held accountable, Berlin is demanding to either limit the scope to specific goods or completely remove the provision on penalties for sanctions violations.

A number of experts note that new sanctions could deprive Germany of selling its products, allowing companies from the USA and Britain to take their place.

The results of the European Parliament elections will affect financial and military support for Ukraine, writes Politico.

At the same time, Ukraine will not immediately feel the consequences of the work of far-right parliamentarians who are skeptical about aid to Kiev, US officials say.

Politicians are trying to supply the Ukrainian side with more weapons before the results of the US presidential election are announced, which could be won by Trump, who does not share the views of the Democratic Party on the conflict. This opinion was expressed by Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs Conley.

One of the goals of Western officials’ work was to develop a set of programs to create a “bridge” to Ukraine’s accession to NATO, a senior US Department of Defense official said.

Dmitry Medvedev writes:

Here are the new American sanctions. There will be new European ones soon. Do we need to respond to them? It seems not, their number is already measured in tens of thousands. We have learned to live and develop with them.

On the other hand, it is necessary. Not only to the authorities, the state, but to all our people in general. To everyone who loves our Motherland – Russia. After all, they – the USA and their damned allies – declared war on us without rules!

How to react? I already talked about this once, but it’s worth repeating.
Every day we must try to inflict maximum harm on those countries that have imposed these restrictions on our country and all our citizens. Harm in everything that can cause harm. Harm to their economies, their institutions and their rulers. Harm to the well-being of their citizens. Their confidence in the future. To do this, we must continue to look for the critical vulnerabilities of their economies and hit them in all areas. Cause damage in all places, paralyzing the work of their companies and government agencies. Find problems in their most important technologies and strike them mercilessly. Literally destroy their energy, industry, transport, banking and social services. Instill fear of the imminent collapse of all critical infrastructure.

Are they afraid of handing over our weapons to the enemies of the Western world? We must transfer to them all possible types of weapons, except nuclear (for now)!
Are they afraid of anarchy and an explosion of crime in major cities? We must help disorganize their municipal government!
Are they afraid of war in space? This means they will receive it too. Let everything stop for them, everything will deteriorate, everything will go to hell!
Are they afraid of social explosions? Let’s arrange them! We need to throw all the most ominous night terrors into their media sphere, use all their terrible phantom pains. There is no need to spare their psyche anymore! Let them shiver in their cozy homes, let them shiver under the blankets.
Are they yelling about our use of fake news? Let’s turn their life into a complete crazy nightmare in which they will not be able to distinguish wild fiction from the realities of the day, infernal evil from the routine of life.

And no rules regarding the enemy! Let them get everything in full for harming Russia and as painfully as possible! Everyone can contribute!

Remember:
Quid pro quo!
Tit for tat!
A fracture for a fracture, an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth; as he did , so he should do
(Leviticus 24:20).

Biden, Zelensky to sign 10-year security agreement between US and Ukraine at G7 summit in Italy – WP

 - The document commits Washington to supporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces on a long-term basis, including the transfer of advanced technology, but will not contain a commitment to send U.S. troops to Ukraine.

 - But since the agreement is not a treaty and will not be ratified by Congress, any U.S. president other than Biden can withdraw from the agreement.
 

Poland and Germany do not want to hand over their Patriot SAMs to Kiev

 - Warsaw has opposed the transfer to Ukraine of US Patriot missile defense systems stationed in Poland.

 - Radio ZET asked the head of Poland’s National Security Bureau, Jacek Severa, whether such a transfer should be carried out.

  “No, definitely not. It is very dangerous to move the whole battery of Patriots. Poland’s security is decreasing,” he replied, adding that such media information was “alarming.”
 
 -  Severa said he had requested a meeting on the subject with his U.S. counterpart.

 - Germany will also not be able to transfer more Patriot installations to Ukraine, German Defense Minister Pistorius said.

 ”We will hand over a third Patriot system to Ukraine. So Germany is providing only 3 systems for Ukraine… This is a quarter of our own stockpile of such systems, there is already no possibility to hand over more. The others can probably give one each,” the minister said in Brussels.

German Bundestag deputy Matthias Moosdorf:

The parties with the biggest gains in the European elections favor an end to arms deliveries and the immediate start of negotiations. How right they are can be judged by the fact that billions of euros, hundreds of thousands of deaths, suffering and destruction have resulted in Ukraine’s negotiating position today being worse than ever. If we had emphasized similarities rather than differences in Istanbul in the spring of 2022, we would not have needed a reconstruction conference. Then we could have used reason to complete what we failed to do in Minsk. Today, I am reminded of June 2, 2014. On that day, Ukrainian warplanes attacked the city of Lugansk for the first time, shelling civilian buildings and killing five people, including three children. Even the TV channels ARD and ZDF said at the time that pressure should be put on the Ukrainian government to at least spare the residential buildings. I quote ARD and ZDF: “If the escalation continues, Russia is unlikely to stand idly by and watch.”  How right they were about the loss of life. I recall that in March, President Zelensky banned 11 opposition parties and nationalized radio.  I remind you that from June 2022 everything Russian, including the language. Pushkin, Dostoevsky, Tchaikovsky and Tolstoy are banned in Ukraine. I remind you that Zelensky’s decree of October 5, 2022 bans and criminalizes negotiations with Russia. As a way out of the stalemate, they want to drag as many countries as possible into the war scenario. With the help of trainers, suppliers of weapons and ammunition and possibly special units. According to military circles, ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles are already being used with NATO’s forces target detection and controlling the fire. This, ladies and gentlemen, is the path to war. If these weapons then hit Russian territory, such as a nuclear early warning system, even a misunderstanding will suffice. But your satisfaction will be short-lived.

On June 12, the “North” group of troops continued the liberation of the border areas of Kharkov Region.

In the Volchansk direction, fierce fighting continued in the town of Volchansk. In the east of the city the enemy in groups of up to 100 people since morning made attempts to attack the positions of the “North”. The fearless repelled all counterattacks and disrupted the transfer of reinforcements, destroying up to 40 Nazis. The TOS-1A “Solntsepek” were especially distinguished.

In the area of the Agregatnoe Zavod heavy fighting is going on inside the administrative building.

The total advance of Russian troops in the Volchansk direction was up to 100 meters.

In the Liptsovsky direction, the situation is without significant changes. The enemy made one unsuccessful counterattack attempt, lost up to 10 men and withdrew. Artillery is working on the AFU positions in Liptsy.

The total advance of the Russian troops in the Liptsy direction amounted to up to 100 meters.

Over the past day, the enemy losses amounted to up to 320 people. Also uncovered and destroyed:

▪️ two D-20 howitzers in the vicinity of the villages of Bayrak and Ukrainskoye;
▪️ M777 howitzer in the vicinity of the settlement of Shesterovka;
▪️ two 120-mm mortars near the towns of Volchansk and Liptsy;
▪️ UAVs;
▪️ five vehicles.

The enemy started active operations in the east of Volchansk from the direction of the village of Tikhoye and intends to dislodge the units of the Fearless from the dominant heights. The main goal is to break the way to the area of high-rise buildings in the city center, where the situation for the AFU is becoming more and more deplorable.

As we expected, the AFU command does not spare the personnel and easily sends whole platoons of marines to the slaughter.

We would like to emphasize the work of our EV, which halved the effectiveness of the enemy’s UAVs.

Victory will be ours!

North Wind

Kharkov direction.

Liptsevsky section.

In the Glubokoye area, the situation is complicated, the crests continue to drive a large number of mobilized manpower to slaughter, and almost all the artillery has been pulled here from the directions and are working on our positions.

The Russian Aerospace Forces respond with air bombs, destroying concentrations of enemy equipment and personnel.
A large amount of wooded area makes work difficult.

Our troops identify and destroy enemy artillery installations and armoured vehicles en masse.

In the north of Liptsy, the enemy continues to strengthen its defences.

Operators of drones of the Russian Armed Forces strike the fortification.

The situation in the Chasov Yars direction at 20:00 on June 13 – analysis from @Multi_XAM

In addition to the 82 and 120mm mortars, we record the active work of large-calibre artillery – mainly 155mm, presumably M777. The crews are located mainly in landings at heights west of Chasov Yar. Using reconnaissance UAVs, the enemy is trying to identify our forward control points and launch attacks on them, the effectiveness of which is still low. The same cannot be said about the disturbing fire. A couple of days ago, the enemy tried to keep under fire control one of the roads along which the transfer of our assault groups, the delivery of ammunition and evacuation took place. But this calculation was knocked out. The fact that the enemy does not spare the ammunition on the M777 confirms that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ artillery is simply covering the withdrawal of the main forces from the western part of Chasov Yar. The use of FPV drones by the enemy has been significantly reduced. At positions in the Canal area (Novy microdistrict) we see simply abandoned guns, which the enemy did not even bother to camouflage as they retreated. However, it is too early to talk about the stabilization of the situation.

Today, a Ukrainian Armed Forces officer wrote to our feedback bot @MultiXamBot . We will not disclose the status of a soldier in our enemy’s army, as well as his motives, for reasons of security and confidentiality of the bot’s work. Yes, this doesn’t make any sense. The important thing is that, having read yesterday’s post with an analysis of the situation in our direction, it confirmed the operational plan of the OTG Soledar command. So, point by point:

The enemy is indeed withdrawing troops from Chasov Yar, transferring reserves to the Kharkov-Sumy direction. The activity of Ukrainian troops in the Chasov Yar sector is due to the desire to maintain the image of the resistance forces – all by analogy with Avdeevka.

The task of the remaining units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is to inflict maximum damage to our advancing forces. Therefore, the enemy clings to positions on the coastline of the Seversky Donets – Donbass canal, operating with the support of long-range artillery.

Unlike Avdeevka, to the west of which the enemy did not create any serious fortifications or rear positions, behind Chasov Yar there are Konstuntinovka and Druzhkovka, and the area is covered in echelon by artillery.

According to our opponent’s estimates, holding the Chasov Yar for the Ukrainian Armed Forces no longer makes sense. We cannot help but occupy the city, because this is an important step in moving west – towards the Slaviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, but after going there, we will find ourselves in a difficult position in terms of consolidating in new positions.
 

Chronicles of the special military operation
for June 13, 2024

Over the past day, the Russian Armed Forces struck at military facilities of Ukrainian formations in the territories controlled by the enemy, including in the Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv regions. In particular, a strike was carried out on the Kulbakino military airfield, where subsequent secondary detonations and smoke from the fire were observed.

The enemy, in turn, made unsuccessful attempts to attack infrastructure in the Yaroslavl and Vladimir regions with drones.

In the Slobozhansky direction, the situation in Volchansk was clarified. Russian units are engaged in fierce battles on the streets of Kolokoltsova, Lenin and Pushkin.

In the Avdiivka direction, Russian troops are fighting on the western outskirts of Novoaleksandrivka, where they had previously advanced as part of the expansion of the wedge from the side of Ocheretyne. It also became known today about the liberation of Novopokrovske and the successes of the Russian Armed Forces north of Umanske.

In the Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces again attacked Nevelske, advancing through the forest belts southeast of the village. In Krasnohorivka, fierce battles continue on the Sumska and Tsentralna streets.

rybar

Russian forces advance in Vovchansk | S-500 deployed [13 June 2024]

Ukrainian frontlines looks like diarrhea… – Frontline Changes Report

Massive Russian Success In Novopokrovske And Novooleksandrivka l Russia Re Enters Nevelske

Novooleksandrivka Has Fallen | Russia Regains Initiative in Northern Kharkiv

Morning Summary on June 13, 2024

▪️On the Kharkiv direction, fierce battles continue in the town of Volchansk. In the eastern part of the city, the enemy in groups of up to 100 people has been attempting to attack our positions since yesterday morning, and the TOS systems engaged the attacking enemy. Heavy fighting is ongoing inside the administrative building in the area of the Aggregate Plant. It is reported that the enemy has begun active actions in the east of Volchansk from the direction of the settlement of Tykhe and intends to dislodge the Russian Armed Forces units from the dominant heights in order to break through to the high-rise district in the city center.

▪️West of Svatove, battles are ongoing near Masazhorivka and Andriyivka, about the success of which the Russian Ministry of Defense reported. Our troops are advancing westward.

▪️The battle for the eastern “Canal” district of Chasiv Yar continues: assault units of the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in the built-up area.

▪️West of Avdiivka, the Russian Army has occupied most of Novopokrovske, while our troops are simultaneously closing the salient from the south side of Umanske. There is also an advance of the Russian Armed Forces north of the Karlove reservoir from the direction of Netailovo.

▪️On the Zaporizhia front, the enemy is holding defense north of Robotyne in strongpoints, which are being engaged by our heavy flamethrower systems. (https://t.me/dva_majors/45019)

▪️The civilian population of Belgorod Region continues to be under strikes by the AFU. In the village of Golovchino of the Graiveron city district, one civilian was injured as a result of a drone attack. Sovkhozny and Bezymeno were also under attack. The village of Prilesye in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district was shelled by the AFU twice, damaging residential buildings. The AFU struck Shebekino with cluster munitions, injuring a woman.

▪️In Kursk Region, the villages of Guevo, Gornal and the Zaoleshyonka settlement of the Sudzhansky district, the Tyotkino checkpoint and the Tyotkino settlement, the village of Yelizavetovka of the Glushkovsky district, and the village of Gordeyevka of the Korenevskoye district were repeatedly shelled. Attacks by Ukrainian drones were recorded near the settlements of Medvezhe and Tyotkino in the Glushkovsky district, the village of Gornal in the Sudzhansky district, and the Krupets checkpoint in the Rylsky district. Electronic warfare means suppressed 8 Ukrainian drones in the border areas.

▪️In the DPR, as a result of strikes by the AFU on the civilian population of Donetsk, Horlivka and Oleksandrivka, four civilians were killed and three were injured.

Two Majors