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Prepare! Godzilla Hurricane Season Predicted

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By Deborah Dupré

If the reader has been watching in horror the historic, deadly “Apocalyptic Louisiana flood” progress this week, perhaps that has been enough to take to heart the latest hurricane season predictions. This hurricane season is due to bring a staggering eight severe hurricanes reaching category 3,4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to a new National Meteorological Service (SMN) forecast. Today’s deadly Louisiana flood, that killed at least 11 people, and displaced tens of thousands of people, might serve as a 2016 hurricane season sober warning: Prepare now. Flooding is the most dangerous result of hurricanes.

Ten storms are predicted for the Pacific Ocean and 10 for the Atlantic between now and the end of the hurricane season there, December 1. Of those twenty storms, eleven are predicted to become hurricanes.

On the Pacific side, seven of the predicted 10 storms are predicted to be hurricanes by the end of the June 1- November 30 huricane season there. Six of these could become severe and reach category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to the SMN.

Four of the predicted 10 Atlantic storms could become hurricanes and two of those could be severe enough to be rated category 3, 4 or 5, according to the SMN.

“A major impact hurricane will likely strike the U.S. in 2016,” predicts senior research scientost David Dilley of Global Weather Oscillations (GWO).

Models show that the tropics and the Gulf are very active this August. GWO has provided more accurate predictions than any other organization over the past nine years, it boasts on its website. Dilley combines his research with peer reviewed research from other scientists.

“Most scientists are afraid to speak out, especially if they are still employed by a university or government. Retired scientists are beginning to speak up,” Dilley states as a comment.

The record for Pacific hurricanes was 24 in 1992 and for the Atlantic, 27 in 2005. The record for the least number of hurricanes was four in both the Pacific and Atlantic oceans in 1953 and 1983.

‘Dice Are Loaded’

Tuesday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) classified the Louisiana catastrophe as the eighth flood considered to be a once-in-every-500-years event to have taken place in the US in little over 12 months.

“Louisiana is always at risk of floods, naturally, but climate change is exacerbating that risk, weighting the dice against us,” Katharine Hayhoe, a climate researcher at Texas Tech University, told Chris Mooney at The Washington Post. “How long will it be until we finally recognize that the dice are loaded?”

Heat waves are the easiest link between climate change and extreme weather events, according to a recent study by the National Academy of Sciences. A generally warming planet breaks warm-temperature records more frequently than cold-temperature records, setting the stage for lengthier or stronger bouts of extreme heat.

But one relatively simple link involves rainfall and heavy flooding.

“Heavy rainfall is influenced by a moister atmosphere, which is a relatively direct consequence of human-induced warming, though not as direct as the increase in temperature itself,” notes the NAS report. This is due to the atmosphere warming and its  ability to retain water vapor increasing. The climate influence on precipitation events runs from tropical cyclones to blizzards — all with the capacity to produce more precipitation during extreme events.

A heavy precipitation trend has already been documented in the United States and in the region currently experiencing disaster, according to the National Climate Assessment:

Adam Sobel, a climate scientist at Columbia University, does not rule out other contributing causes for the catastrophic Louisiana flood.

“Observations over the US and many other places around the world show that heavy rain events have been becoming heavier over the last several decades. Climate models very consistently predict that this should happen as the climate warms, and basic physics leads us to interpret this change  as, in large part, a consequence of increasing water vapor in the atmosphere,” explains Sobel. “On this basis we can say that climate change has most  likely increased the probability of an event like this. One still can’t say that  climate change ’caused’ this event, as each event has many causes and no event can be viewed solely as a consequence of long-term trends.”

READ: Louisiana Flood Catastrophe Was Man-Made

“Because global warming is real and present, it is not a question as to whether it is playing a role but what that role is,” wrote Climate scientist Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research and two colleagues in a 2015 paper.

Julee Doiron, 56, and a friend in south Louisiana walked down the road to a flooded storage facility where she stored a valuable record collection. She said that felt fortunate the flooding stopped a block short of her home, but she owns a couple of water-damaged rental properties that aren’t covered by flood insurance.

“None of these places are in a flood zone,” she said. “Why buy it if you don’t need it? My agent didn’t recommend it to me.”

In Louisiana, a state accustomed to hurricanes, forecasters said intensity of the rains were nearly off the charts. Meteorologist Ken Graham of the National Weather Service’s office in Slidell, near New Orleans, said forecasters alerted people days ahead of the rain. The forecasts Thursday, however, were for 8 inches of rain, with higher totals expected in some araes, not 2 feet of rain in a 48-hour as happened in Zachary, nor 30 inches in total for many areas.

Outsmarting predicted extreme storms by moving to higher ground or a safer area might also be dangerous, according to Hayhoe.

“When climate is changing, though, relying on the past to predict the future will give us the wrong answer — and not just a wrong answer, but a potentially dangerous one,” Hayhoe said. “We buy a house outside the 100-year flood zone, believing that means we’re safe. We expect our storm sewer drains and our levees to protect us from all but the rarest extremes, failing to account for how these extremes are rapidly becoming more frequent in a changing climate.”

Is climate change dangerous?

(Feature photo credit: Instituto de Ciencias Medicas de Chinas)

Related Articles by Deborah Dupré

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Apocalyptic Louisiana Flooding Updates: Hurricane Katrina-Type Stranded Desperation Sets In

Louisiana Flood Catastrophe Was Man-Made

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    Total 42 comments
    • Deborah Dupre

      “The dice are loaded, indeed. Makes me wonder:

      How many thousands of people i harm’s way, however, can adequately prepare to survive?

      How many people prefer to disbelieve the predictions, argue about the real causes… instead of adequately preparing and helping others prepare?

    • LifeIs

      Insurance companies are making a killing on this fraud. But the truth is:

      1. Hurricane season began June 1. There have been two Category 1 (minimal strength) hurricanes, and one made landfall in Belize.

      2. Florida has not had a hurricane landfall since Wilma in 2005.

      That far surpasses the previous record of 5 years without a hurricane, 1980-84.

      3. Colorado State University predicted an AVERAGE hurricane season this time, “12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricanes.”

      https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2016-hurricane-season-forecast-atlantic-colorado-state-csu

      4. The five strongest hurricanes in US history were:

      Camille 1969

      Andrew 1992

      Labor Day (Florida Keys) 1935

      Indianola 1886

      Charley 2004

      5. The article is loaded, and the hurricane season is not.

      • Deborah Dupre

        Ah, Lifels. So good to see your unscientific-biased comment and insult. Thank you.

        Yes, June 1st began the season – but it lasts through November 30, (though in the past cooler days on Earth, the season was defined as a shorter time frame.)

        Talk about “loaded”…

        • FAT AXL!!!

          “So good to see your unscientific-biased comment…”

          Just another brazen example of either the innate unwillingness, or the congenital inability, of the leftist mind to be honest with facts and reality.

          Emotional talk versus facts. That’s what this entire equation amounts to.

          What happened to that ‘adult’ conversation / debate you said you were interested in having, Ms. Dupre? No longer interested? Between LifeIs, Mayhem and myself (who would all be saying virtually the same things)… you and Doctor Brown wouldn’t stand a chance.

          And you know it.

          • Mayhem

            Quite right TCB.

            You know it, Dupre/Brown know it, most folk know it.

            And therein lies the answer.

      • Anonymous

        I thought he just presented some facts for you. Facts are facts. If you don’t like facts you may be in the wrong business.

        • Deborah Dupre

          Mithc51, You, Lifels and I all know that unrelated facts are simply nonsense. But I truly appreciate his taking the time to show readers just how relentless deniers are, much to the delight of the dirty fossil fuel industry profiteers.

          • FAT AXL!!!

            I wonder, Ms. Dupre, if the facts LifeIs posted above aren’t related to the outrageous claims you’re making here…

            …then what are they related to?

          • LifeIs

            “Unscientific” and “biased” and “unrelated” and “nonsense” and why?

            Because they don’t support a myth that is profitable to:

            1. Oil companies, who kept prices up, by producing less, and blamed it all on environmentalists.

            2. The entire financial sector, and the US government, which have needed to “print” a lot of money. Which would make the US dollar worth less, were it not required for oil trading. The petrodollar enables money-printing. It depends on keeping oil prices up.

            Here is the real Godzilla, the money supply going vertical on the graph:

            https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?s%5B1%5D%5Bid%5D=AMBNS

            3. The big banks and other speculators in the carbon credits racket.

            4. Insurance companies who are granted ridiculously high rates, by state government regulators, on the theory that hurricanes will increase in intensity and in number.

            I resent being robbed. And I resent people who DON’T EVEN UNDERSTAND THEIR OWN THEORY preaching about it, in support of the robbers.

            I’m still waiting for Paul Brown or Deborah Dupre to acknowledge their mistake, in saying Earth is 33 degrees warmer because of carbon dioxide. Not even NASA says that, and I gave them a NASA link.

            Most greenhouse effect believers say water vapor accounts for 90% to 95% of the greenhouse effect. NASA says water vapor, other gases, and aerosols, account for 80%.

            http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/co2-temperature.html

            Bear in mind that this is computer modeling that depends on C02 increasing water vapor.

            5. American liberals have been kept busy by the global warming myth. They were willing to believe a windmill was a monstrous giant, and they were going to save the day.

            And all the time they were serving the interests of the richest people in the world.

            • FAT AXL!!!

              “They were willing to believe a windmill was a monstrous giant, and they were going to save the day.”

              Ahhh… Doc Brown, the Knight of the Sorrowful Tale and his trusty sidekick Sanchica Dupre!!

        • Deborah Dupre

          Here you go, Mmitch 51. Here are some facts for you:

          July 2016 was the warmest on record.
          The 1st hurricane was in January.
          There’s a record drought in much of California.
          Ft Mac fire consumes an area equal to PEI.
          This is the second “1000″ year flood this year.
          There’s record breaking devastating heat in parts of southeast Asia and middle east, etc., etc –

          That list is all true — all facts. Those facts on their own, however, do not prove the cause of global warming any more than Lifel’s facts prove anything. Lifel’s facts, however, the kind of mumbo jumbo climate change deniers and their psuedo science like to use.

          • LifeIs

            The reason you offer no details, Deborah, is that details prove you’re wrong about the climate.

            Drought in California before man-made carbon dioxide? Well, yes.

            https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/12/141205124357.htm

            “..climate scientists from the University of Minnesota and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution have shown that the drought of 2012-2014 has been the worst in 1,200 years.”

            From tree ring studies, which also gave us this:

            “BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago, what is now California baked in two droughts, the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years.”

            “…relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that mega-droughts are likely to recur.”

            http://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-california.html?pagewanted=all

            Fires bigger than the Fort McMurray fire before “global warming?” Well, yes.

            The Fort McMurray wildfire burned 2344 square miles. (1,500,000 acres)

            Compare that to history here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wildfires

            In 1825, in New Brunswick, a fire burned twice as much area as the Ft. McMurray fire. And killed 160 people.

            In 1910, in Idaho, Montana, and Washington, a fire burned twice as much area as the Ft. McMurray fire. And killed 86 people.

            Ontario had bigger fires than that in 1911 and 1916.

            Alberta and Saskatchewan had a bigger fire in 1919.

            Well you get the idea. Big wildfires aren’t new at all.

            “Thousand year floods” less than 1,000 years apart? That’s not what 1,000 year flood means. That’s not how statistics work.

            “One might believe that a 1,000-year flood actually occurs once every 1,000 years. It doesn’t, necessarily.

            “It could happen twice in 10 years,” said Michael Mann, a professor of meteorology at Penn State University. “And, then it might not happen for another 10,000 years.”

            The reference is to a statistical measure — 1 in 1,000. It means that there is a 1 in 1,000, or 0.1 percent, chance that such a rain event or flood will occur in any given year.”

            http://www.cnbc.com/2015/10/05/1000-year-flood-hyperbole-or-hard-science.html

            If warm weather in some location proves “global warming,” does cold weather in the Arctic RIGHT NOW disprove it?

            Greenland should still be in summer melt season, but it’s below zero there now.

            It’s going to snow in Scandinavia, in August.

            There are links to source here, and a video:

            http://investmentwatchblog.com/hurricane-circulation-over-the-arctic-august-snow-follows-2nd-hurricane-over-hudson-bay/

      • Paul Brown

        Very misleading, as is usually the case with this troll. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Florida_hurricanes_(2000%E2%80%93present). However, the verdict is still out on the effect of global warming on hurricanes: http://www.hurricanescience.org/science/science/climate/longtermrecordsofhurricaneactivity/. We shall see.

        • FAT AXL!!!

          What is misleading about what LifeIs posted, Doctor Brown?

          [The pesky rascal you abhor with all your being rears its head yet again...

          ...specifics.]

          If you have a specific objection to any of the specifics LifeIs enumerated above, then please enunciate precisely just what that objection might be. Use your words, now.

          Specifically.

          Don’t just say ‘misleading’ and then wander off without having the decency and the fortitude to defend your stance. Demonstrate the value (if there is any) of your argument…

          …if you are able.

        • LifeIs

          Paul Brown: Neither of your links contradicts what I posted. Wilma was the last hurricane to make landfall in Florida, and that was in 2005.

          And of the top 5 hurricanes in US history, by wind speed, three were in the 20th century and 1 was in the 19th. And the only 21st century one was 12 years ago.

          The outrageous predictions of superstorms were indeed made by global warming alarmists. For about 20 years now.

          The basis of the prediction, by the way, is the fact that large boulders have been tossed about, in the past. And the assumption is that they were not tossed by a global cataclysm.

          Good luck getting the original articles from Google. They will keep steering you to the 2015 James Hansen LATEST prediction of superstorms.

          And Paul I’m still waiting for you to acknowledge you don’t understand the theory you preach. The 33 degrees part, in particular.

    • Syrin

      The US hasn’t been hit by a major hurricane in over 4000 days. Are the people making the current prediction the same f’heads who said we’d be hit by a level 5 hurricane once a week?

      • FAT AXL!!!

        The same doom-mongers who want a new category to be added for classification of even more violent storms than anything we’ve seen in the past.

        The same goons who promised the entire state of Florida would be sleeping with the fishes by now.

        The same unprincipled, pathological yarn-spinners who said we only had 500 days to stave off inevitable global destruction, but said it more than 750 days ago.

        The same meat-headed goobersmoochers who guaranteed the Maldives would be almost completely submerged by now.

        The same jack-booted snapperheads who want laws passed that they might incarcerate folks like you and me just for daring to suggest that all their environmental terrorism is nothing more than lies fabricated by lunatic tyrants in an effort to seize total control over the last vestiges of free economies and free minds yet roaming the lands in this world and floating on its seas.

        Those are the people behind all of this nonsense.

        • Paul Brown

          Readers:

          Note another tactic used by climate change deniers: citing the failure of outrageous predictions, implying that they were made by climate scientists. Of course they weren’t.

          Incidentally, the people of the Maldives are looking for a new place to live: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/nov/10/maldives-climate-change. They, like a vast number of governments at different levels, are preparing for the inevitable as they watch the very real effects of climate change. See also http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/community/miami-dade/miami-beach/article41141856.html

          Please see Ms Dupre’s previous articles for examples of climate denier trolls’ comments and my analysis of them. Remember: the trolls are paid to have the last word. That doesn’t make them or their fossil fuel sponsors right, does it?

          • FAT AXL!!!

            Tactics. Shall we talk about tactics then? Let us do.

            Doc Brown wrote:

            “…another tactic used by climate change deniers: citing the failure of outrageous predictions, implying that they were made by climate scientists. Of course they weren’t.”

            I am citing the failure of YOUR outrageous predictions and allegations. Vis – your interjection of the Maldives being submerged during the conversation recorded HERE:

            /environment/2016/08/apocalyptic-louisiana-1000-troops-battle-deadly-historic-event-widespread-chaos-evacs-ordered-2560504.html#comment_216121

            To wit:

            “Incidentally, the people of the Maldives are looking for a new place to live…”

            Yes. They are PREPARING for the INEVITABLE!!! Any idiot fleeing that island chain does so because they believe the lies sold to them by leftist hooligans like you, doc. NOTHING IS HAPPENING to those islands. They are NOT submerging beneath the waters of the Pacific. The sea is NOT rising to engulf those low-lying lands. You and your ilk who claim otherwise are ALWAYS and ONLY pointing to what MAY happen in days to come. But you liars have been saying the same thing about those islands for too long now, so anyone with eyes can see for themselves that your predictions are FALSE.

            “Please see Ms Dupre’s previous articles for examples of climate denier trolls’ comments and my analysis of them.”

            Your analysis? You mean your cowardly refusal to engage in a serious conversation? You mean your steadfast rejection of repeated requests for substance and specifics in your arguments? You mean your vacuous appeals to a non-existent readership (the ‘evolved’ readers, like you) as an empty tactic for talking around and past the men who are directly addressing you, personally? You are a walking, talking tactic, Doctor Brown. That’s what you are. You have no ability to engage an intelligent, reasonable and well-supported objection to your argument – to engage head-on and meet substance with substance. You cannot possibly survive a serious dialogue or debate, so you do what you can instead, which is drag out every trick you’ve learned that might make it seem like you’re holding your own on these comment boards when you’re consistently being handed your hat.

            “Remember: the trolls are paid to have the last word. That doesn’t make them or their fossil fuel sponsors right, does it?”

            And this… as pathetic as it is, is your best tactic. But regulars here in the BIN see this stupid ruse employed a thousand times each and every day by the bringers of weak arguments who have nothing else to say. Trite. Shaded. Hackneyed. Threadbare. And utterly hollow.

            • The Clucker

              “You cannot possibly survive a serious dialogue or debate, so you do what you can instead, which is drag out every trick you’ve learned that might make it seem like you’re holding your own on these comment boards when you’re consistently being handed your hat.”

              His hat was handed to him on Debbie’s articles yesterday, no doubt. I think he finally ate his hat today. I hope it was a big hat.

            • FAT AXL!!!

              The King wrote:

              “They [the Maldives] are NOT submerging beneath the waters of the Pacific.”

              Jackass.

              The Maldives. As in, the island nation in the INDIAN Ocean.

              Maybe I’ll take a big bite out of my own hat.

              Pass the salt Cluck.

            • The Clucker

              No need for salt feller. You don’t gots yerself no hat. Just a badarse pompadour cut.

          • LifeIs

            Right. Big Oil paid me to freeze Greenland in August of 2016. When it should be melting.

            Big Oil paid me to go back in time, to the 19th century and early 20th century, and set bigger fires than the Ft. McMurray fire, in Canada and the US.

            Big Oil paid me to re-write all the statistics textbooks, so 1,000 year events don’t necessarily have 1,000 years between them.

            Big Oil paid me to go back in time, thousands of years, to stunt some tree growth and make it look like California had worse droughts before man-made C02.

      • Paul Brown

        Who said we’d be hit by a level 5 every week? If any did, they were way off base. Anyway, here’s an interesting commentary (http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/no-major-us-hurricane-landfalls-in-nine-years-luck):

        “The last nine hurricane seasons were not weak – storms just didn’t hit the U.S.,” Hall said. “It seems to be an accident of geography, random good luck.”

        When 2014 passed without a major hurricane landfall, the period from 2006-2014 surpassed the previous record for an absence of known major hurricane landfalls in the U.S., which occurred from 1861 to 1868. The researchers became curious about the probability of nine years passing without a major landfall.

        The nine-year period stands out, too, because it immediately followed the most active Atlantic hurricane season on record. As major hurricanes Dennis, Katrina, Rita and Wilma all hit the U.S., debate intensified about how global warming might drive hurricane activity.

        • LifeIs

          *scratches head*

          Like, “never mind the lack of hurricanes, all these years. There were category 3 hurricanes BEFORE the lack of hurricanes”

          Well, nobody said there were no hurricanes before. There were plenty of hurricanes, and the strongest ones ever, in the 20th century, and earlier.

          For the record,

          Dennis (2005) made landfall as a category 3

          Katrina (2005) made landfall as a category 3 — levee failures caused the flooding–

          Rita (2005) made landfall as a category 3

          Wilma (2005) made landfall in Mexico as a category 4 and in Florida as a category 3

          None of them compare to the monster hurricanes of 1935 or 1969.

          And the global warming superstorms are a myth. A promise from 20 years ago that never gets fulfilled.

        • Mayhem

          That’s about as desperate as scrambling gets, Dr Brown, and just as LifeIs points out the recent lack of landfall hurricanes in no way increases the likelihood of them doing so in the future. In fact it would be normative to expect storm events to further decrease because… the sun.

          The current sun cycle (SC24) matches or falls below the sun spot activity of SC5 (1798 – 1810) and what happened then? Well as it happens the Maunder minimum, with it’s -1° global avg temp decline, heralded SC5 which went on to include the Dalton minimum and of course the so called little ice age (1300 – 1870) over shadowed the whole kit and caboodle.

          No biggie and the only difference is not being able to live outside of 20 degrees from the equator instead of the 40 degrees that we currently manage. The only trick to it is making sure we all get along because there’ll still be plenty of room for everyone but we will have to get a little cosier.

          All John Lennon was saying is…

    • lucid_ity

      Forecasts are becoming less and less accurate. The long-term forecasts for temperatures have been completely wrong in the area I live in for at least the past two years. I suppose that’s better than being wrong or right only half the time — as it is, I only have to invert their forecasts to get a real forecast.

      • Deborah Dupre

        Lucid – That’s why it is worthwhile to see the prediction accuracy rate of Global Weather Oscillations (GWO).

    • Central Scrutinizer

      ^^^ “Godzilla Hurricane Season Predicted” ohhhhhhhh, ahhhhhhhhhh……….

      Well then, maybe the Atlantic Ocean didn’t get the memo. Either that, or it had better get in gear pretty quickly. It’s mid-August and it’s been mouse-quiet here on the Gulf Coast. Kinda like it’s been for the past 8+ years.

      And despite my negative affinity for “lists”, Lifels does have some valid points above. Deborah, you “shat the bed” on this one….. :mrgreen:

      • Deborah Dupre

        Why take only the past nine years?
        How scientific is that? Answer: Not at all.

        Please: Present your claims/challenges along with their supporting scientific evidence from valid and reliable scientists — those who have published the evidence in peer reviewed valid and reliable science journals or on valid and reliable science websites. Otherwise, your “facts” are no more than nonsense that appear to be presented to convince people that all the real scientists worldwide, all the countries working to reduce global warming… are all wrong. Again, thank you for showing all the readers here just how the real hoax on the naive public works.

        • The Clucker

          “Please: Present your claims/challenges along with their supporting scientific evidence”

          Maybe you should follow your own advice and address the points brought up above by LifeIs and TCB instead of tucking tail and running like you did on all of your articles yesterday. It would seem you’re having trouble defending a position you can’t back up with facts.

        • LifeIs

          This is why I give you links to NASA whenever possible. Because underneath a misleading headline, buried in the text, are the facts.

          Like the one about C02 and NO in the upper atmosphere serving as a “thermostat” to cool the Earth, by radiating away solar energy.

          That was from NASA.

          I could have given you any number of sources for water vapor being the most important “greenhouse gas.” I gave you NASA’s version.

          Common sense should be enough. Water vapor absorbs the same infrared wavelengths as C02, and there is a lot more water vapor than there is C02.

          But I gave you NASA saying exactly that.

          Nobody is “taking only the last nine years.” Or the last 11, either.

          But YOU are the one saying the world is getting hotter. And Hansen and company from NASA said there would be superstorms, hurling boulders far inland, from all this carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

          Well, we didn’t get superstorms in the last 11 years, or EVER. It’s a failed prediction from a false theory.

          • Paul Brown

            Readers (I never respond to climate deniers, who will never be swerved. I respond only for the readers who are scientifically literate enough to be interested in learning some science):

            I wasn’t going to respond to any more of Lifels’s nonsense on this article (future articles are fair game, though), but this is too ludicrous to pass up. Note, incidentally, that he now admits the greenhouse effect is real, contradicting himself.

            The greenhouse gases in the upper atmosphere do indeed re-radiate heat as infrared light,. The full spectrum of solar light energy (including visible, infrared and ultraviolet) penetrates the atmosphere to heat the Earth, except for the fraction of the ultraviolet blocked by the ozone layer. Some of the incoming infrared is absorbed by greenhouse gases (GHGs) and re-radiated in all directions, some into space and the rest onto Earth and into the atmosphere. The full spectrum of energy that hits the Earth (substantially more than was re-radiated as it came in from the Sun) warms it up and some of that is re-radiated as infrared (in other words, visible light has been converted to infrared). This infrared, much greater in quantity than incoming, is partly absorbed by the GHGs, which then re-radiate it in all directions, some of it into space. The temperature of the Earth is indeed controlled by this “thermostat”: if more energy is radiated into space than reached the Earth, the planet cools, and if less is, the planet warms. When the GHGs increase, as has been the case at present, less infrared makes it into space and the planet warms, as it is doing. The increased GHGs reset the “thermostat” to a higher temperature, and it takes some time for Earth to reach the new temperature. The amount of GHGs in the atmosphere now will result in continued heating for more than 100 years – we are committed to this, even without the feedbacks that will make it worse.

            Another example of Lifels’s distortions. He probably isn’t clever enough to come up with all these himself, so he’s probably getting them from higher-ups.

            • Mayhem

              Just full of baseless slurs…

              “Another example of Lifels’s distortions. He probably isn’t clever enough to come up with all these himself, so he’s probably getting them from higher-ups.”

              … ain’t-chya Dr Brown?

            • Mayhem

              Oh and real science…

              http://principia-scientific.org/atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-lags-temperature-the-proof/

              … coming right up.

              Now then doesn’t the AGW hoax have CO2 causing climate change? How could that be if CO2 levels lag behind temperature increases?

          • LifeIs

            (1) No, Paul, I was correcting your misunderstanding. By telling you what NASA says about water vapor. I put “greenhouse gas” in quotes. I’m helping you understand the theory that you believe.

            YOU said carbon dioxide (380 ppm) changes our temperature by 33 degrees. And NASA says that water vapor (50,000 ppm) is the most important “greenhouse gas” (notice the quotes)

            And that in COMPUTER MODELS, carbon dioxide increases our WATER VAPOR by increasing HEAT.

            (2) I’ve tried to help you understand that. And I’ve tried to help you understand probability and statistics here:

            About the chance of having two thousand-year floods in one year:

            No, you don’t multiply .001 by .001 for that. It is not a conditional probability.

            This is the formula you want: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100-year_flood and scroll down to “Probability.” It’s a binomial distribution.

            Then scroll down to “Observed Intervals Between Floods” to see examples of how the formula works.

            (3) NOW I must help you understand NASA’s Saber study. The “thermostat” remark of theirs is about C02 and NO in the thermosphere blocking solar energy.

            And therefore helping keep us cool. They weren’t talking about the “greenhouse effect” at all. You really should read this stuff sometime. I gave you a link.

            (4) What I say about the “greenhouse effect” is here:

            The atmosphere of Venus, almost pure C02 and very cool where pressure is equal to our sea level, proves there is no greenhouse effect.

            The use of satellites to measure our air temperatures proves that we radiate heat directly into space anyway. The radiant heat of oxygen and argon are not absorbed by water vapor or C02.

            We’ve known since R.W. Wood in 1909 that greenhouses work by blocking convection of the air. And convection occurs in our air. Try keeping warm some cold winter night by back-radiation instead of a blanket.

            We know that heat flows from warm substances to colder ones. Even if you keep adding heat to the warm substance, it flows one way. The cold atmosphere cannot heat the Earth or the air at the surface.

            Thus it is proved. Again and again.

      • deano

        Listening to these “politically correct BITCHES” is excruciating Deb. You have more courage than most reporters here (U answer comments!), and love your articles because u DO the research + Follow on with updates……something near extinct on MSM, and some of the responses posted here. Excuse me Deb, there is something I must do, my apologies >>>>>OI! Central SCRUTINIZER

        ** Go and Scrutinize that Scrotum of yours Central non-Intelligence Angelncy +(aligned Brothers)…..
        ** No STONES down there!…….and scrutinize your “SKAT” filth at a Lady’s Expense.. I would like to see the BIN “lists” of statistics on Nibiru, 90% your at the top of “Attack Comments”…..or taking a DUMP on others……. WISE Satellite ? Evidence of NASA doing a “Survey” for Planet X in 2014!
        Toilet Humour is the answer?….Ive read better comments on da back of a DUNNY door :!:

        ….it seems the “intelligence” on this site comes from a group of “Bradley Mannings”. Identity confused, mentally unstable, and self loathing Trannies! They like to Transform the direction of conversation away from the article and into slagging/bitchin duels or Flat Hat nonsense supporting MSM……
        …..a bunch of CIA/FBI/NSA/University REJECTS….bitter little theologians + philosophers of the IHS,
        answering to some “Superior” on their secret “Bitches” link…..Beef Supreme? :twisted:

        FACT its been the HOTTEST 10yrs in the last 10, is proof we are warming.
        FACT that early photos of Glaciers, is proof they are receding at alarming rate by warming.
        FACT that old colonial sea-walls of “High Tide Marks” cut in stone 200yrs ago,is proof sea-levels have risen 4in/100ml. Flood gates of London, Netherland Sea Walls is modern EVIDENCE………

        We all know, that clouds act like a blanket, and actually keep the warmth of the day. A clear night= Freezing cold morning! …..and for some strange reason, someone is filling the sky with clouds >CHEMTRAILS.
        How can we ever believe anything regarding the weather since it has come under the control of “National /International Security” interests…….the documentation in the 1990s
        #^ USAAF ~ “Owning the Weather by 2025″…….

        If this Doomsday Weapon exists, is it the SBX-1 :?:

        A semi-submersible 8knt oil-rig platform with a giant X-BAND (Haarp) Radar, last seen being towed into the Pacific 2006?.

        HAARP Scientist Papadopoulos> “Give me an oil-rig, and I can create Earthquakes in Iran!”
        *%> Iranian News Reports of “Cooked” Dolphins in Gulf(+images)

        A giant X-band “Microwave” platform that can submerse to become stable & thus deliver a pin-point reflected beam of energy bounced off the metal particulates in the “Geo-eng Clouds”………

        Mmmm? Its been mouse-quiet weather wise?…….it seems a lot of those potential storm fronts in the last 8+ years in the Atlantic have “Miraculously” turned back out to sea…..from encountering a warm front

        but the Pacific?….Drought? Famine? Wild Fires? Heat Waves in ALASKA ???

        Mmmm? Has that SBX-1 been HEATING up the West Coast, especially Alaska, which has caused the Polar Vortex to descend down the EAST Coast as a reaction?
        #% HILLARY Claims Oil/Gas of Greenland + Arctic Circle as USA assets**(old report/2011?)…….
        and we all know of the actual land based HAARP in Alaska…..and “Drill, Baby Drill” :smile:

        Keep up da Good Work Deb,….but there is one more related point I will raise as evidence of this “Geo-Engineered Weather Control” , and it was on the MSM TV Weather Reports.
        Not shown anymore , they use to have the” Radar Image” of the Cloud/Rain fronts. But at times , that even baffled the “Meteorologist/Weatherman”, were symmetrical patterned Anomolies….>>>>
        Scalar Rings, Spirals, Cirlces,Spokes,Wedges……(nothing like random clouds)….

        As a related point, something not many raise here, we all know of an equal & opposite reaction……

        So, is Heating the West, Cooling the East?……
        something they will never tell us if it is their Chemtrailers + SBX-1 + HAARP Facilities causing it…steering cloud formations…..storm fronts,,,,,droughts/floods…….and “Acts of God”(Typhoons & Earthquakes + Tsunamis)

        NOTE ## Global Warming is now Climate Change…….a better “cover-all” for the phenomenon

        • Central Scrutinizer

          WOW…… You thought all that up by yourself?

          I’m impressed. (No, not really, I was fibbing, can you tell?)

          Scalar Rings?!?!?! I’m sure some Preparation H will fix you right up there, Sparky! :mrgreen:

          Carry On! That is All…..

          • Central Scrutinizer

            And your ‘evidence’ of the 10 hottest years being in the last 10 years?

            Apparently you haven’t researched to 1930′s-1940′s.

            Look it up, Maroon…… :mrgreen:

    • You People Are Nuts

      I’m under the impression that you believe the Louisiana Flooding was man-made (above links to your previous articles).
      But here today, you say the flooding in LA is a precursor to a more active hurricane season due to the laws of Mother Nature…heated planet, causing more moisture being sucked up and resulting in heavier rains (in my own words).
      So instead of bringing any possible answers about the weather to the table, you’ve brought in the question of your integrity.

      While weather manipulation is always a possibility, there is nothing unusual about systems stalling in the Gulf of Mexico for a few days. Just ask Houston, NOLA, MS, AL and Tampa if they’ve ever encountered systems stationing above there cities/areas for days at a time.

      Lastly, your “Godzilla Hurricane” numbers are quite lame for those of us in South Florida.

      • Deborah Dupre

        While weather manipulation is always a possibility, there is nothing unusual about systems stalling in the Gulf of Mexico for a few days? The significance here is that it is unusual for the Gulf of Mexico temperatures to be increasing, creating perfect conditions for severe weather/heavy rain, flooding.. hurricanes.

        Yes, I know weather weapons exist and the weather manipulation tools for ENMOD are in the wrong hands. Yes, I think the Walker, La. wall is another example of ENMOD.
        Yes, global warming is predicted to bring a severe hurricane season ahead – that by the way, actually continues through Dec 1 on the east coast.
        Yes, I think by denying global warming, the science of it and the humanitarian crises it is causing, one contributes to the ignorance and thus, also to much human suffering.

        • maxwell

          …YADA YADA YADA…only thing that stays in the front of my mind is that NOTHING that’s happening right now in our little corner of the universe, is anything we can understand…Top to bottom…All “never before, seen”!!!
          …Are Ya’ll just NOT paying attention to reality…?

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