Cash - the investment of the century
The banks who from time to time attempt to poach my clients often use past performance an an indicator of future returns, while of course covering themselves by the usual disclaimers. Typically they cherry-pick among terms of 1, 3, 5 and 10 years.
Let’s see how the graph for the Dow would look over various time periods, and compare it with cash in your bedsock. To be fair, let’s ignore the interest you could have earned on cash, and the dividends on stocks; as a special favour to the Dow, so being especially unfair to cash, let’s also ignore the offer-bid spread and the fees and charges loaded onto the investor.
Over the last 12 months:, you could have made a good profit – well, you could if you’d got out a month early:
… over the last 3 years:
… over the last 5 years:
… and since January 2000:
Source:
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